── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Denis Shapovalov
49%51%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
SVK
country
CAN
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings