── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Molcan
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
30%70%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 25% / 75%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Molcan■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-17UmagClayQFAlex Molcan3-6 6-1 6-2