── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Alex De Minaur
24%76%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Shanghai | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | W/O |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Alex Molcan | 7-6(2) 6-2 |