── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Sho Shimabukuro
67%33%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
JPN
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | Q1 | Alex Molcan | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |