── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Sebastian Baez
52%48%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ARG
178cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Prostejov CH | Clay | F | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-07-31 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-04-26 | Ostrava CH | Clay | R16 | Alex Molcan | 4-6 6-1 4-2 RET |