── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Tomas Machac
48%52%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#64
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
CZE
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alex Molcan | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Bratislava CH | Clay | QF | Alex Molcan | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-1 |
| 2021-08-02 | Liberec CH | Clay | F | Alex Molcan | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2019-07-29 | Liberec CH | Clay | QF | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-2 |