── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Matteo Arnaldi
46%54%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ITA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings