── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Molcan 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Molcan
Gabriel Diallo
56%44%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#94
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
CAN
178cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Molcan■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30BucharestClayR16Alex Molcan6-2 6-2