── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Molcan a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Molcan
Gabriel Diallo
55%45%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#67
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
CAN
178cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MolcanGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30BucharestClayR16Alex Molcan6-2 6-2