── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Luca Van Assche
62%38%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
FRA
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Quimper CH | Hard | R16 | Luca Van Assche | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-09-25 | Orleans CH | Hard | R32 | Luca Van Assche | 1-6 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R32 | Alex Molcan | 6-4 6-3 |