── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Federico Cina
72%28%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Federico Cina
23th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#163
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ITA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Federico Cina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Alex Molcan | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |