── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mikael Ymer
Mackenzie Mcdonald
31%69%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mikael Ymer
3th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Mikael Ymer
77th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#185
model rank
#159
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mikael Ymer■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R16 | Mikael Ymer | 3-6 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2020-01-13 | Auckland | Hard | Q2 | Mikael Ymer | 6-4 6-3 |