── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mikael Ymer
Mackenzie Mcdonald
25%75%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mikael Ymer
2th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Mikael Ymer
81th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#179
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mikael YmerMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2023-06-26EastbourneGrassQFMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-01-09Adelaide 2HardR16Mikael Ymer3-6 7-6(2) 6-3
2020-01-13AucklandHardQ2Mikael Ymer6-4 6-3