── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaume Munar
Daniil Medvedev
25%75%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaume Munar
55th · average
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Jaume Munar
88th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#44
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jaume MunarDaniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Jaume Munar6-2 6-3