── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaume Munar
Daniil Medvedev
30%70%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaume Munar
54th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Jaume Munar
91th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jaume Munar■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Jaume Munar6-2 6-3