── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaume Munar
Alexander Bublik
42%58%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 19% / 81%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaume Munar
54th · average
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Jaume Munar
91th · elite
Alexander Bublik
49th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
KAZ
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jaume Munar■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQFAlexander Bublik6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Jaume Munar6-4 3-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2