── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaume Munar a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaume Munar
Matteo Arnaldi
55%45%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaume Munar
55th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Jaume Munar
88th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#44
model rank
#54
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jaume MunarMatteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay23
Hard10
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Matteo Arnaldi6-3 3-6 6-3
2025-02-03DallasHardQFJaume Munar6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-06-05Heilbronn CHClayQFMatteo Arnaldi1-6 6-4 7-5
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR32Jaume Munar3-6 6-3 6-1
2023-04-17BarcelonaClayR64Matteo Arnaldi6-3 6-4
2022-06-06Perugia CHClayR32Jaume Munar6-2 7-5