── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lloyd Harris 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lloyd Harris
Alex Bolt
76%24%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lloyd Harris
73th · strong
Alex Bolt
28th · below avg
Return
Lloyd Harris
30th · below avg
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#65
model rank
#172
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RSA
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lloyd Harris■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Lloyd Harris | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | SF | Lloyd Harris | 5-7 7-6(2) RET |
| 2018-10-08 | Fairfield CH | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-4 |