── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lloyd Harris 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lloyd Harris
Sebastian Baez
57%43%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lloyd Harris
73th · strong
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Lloyd Harris
30th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RSA
country
ARG
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lloyd Harris■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun CH | Hard | SF | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Lloyd Harris | 6-3 7-5 6-4 |