── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lloyd Harris
Alex Michelsen
34%66%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lloyd Harris
73th · strong
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Lloyd Harris
30th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#64
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RSA
country
USA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lloyd Harris■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Grass2–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-20Bloomfield Hills CHHardR16Alex Michelsen6-3 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR128Lloyd Harris3-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2 7-6(9)
2023-06-26MallorcaGrassQ2Lloyd Harris6-7(1) 6-4 6-1