── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Grigor Dimitrov
46%54%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#48
model rank
#41
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
BUL
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Martin EtcheverryGrigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Tomas Martin Etcheverry6-4 2-6 6-3
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Grigor Dimitrov6-7(9) 6-3 7-5