── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Martin Etcheverry 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Alex Bolt
74%26%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 19% / 81%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Alex Bolt
8th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#48
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Martin EtcheverryAlex Bolt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR16Tomas Martin Etcheverry6-7(5) 6-0 6-3