── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Martin Etcheverry 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Alex Bolt
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Alex Bolt
29th · below avg
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
34th · below avg
Alex Bolt
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#72
model rank
#172
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR16Tomas Martin Etcheverry6-7(5) 6-0 6-3