── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Brandon Nakashima
28%72%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 9% / 91%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
34th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#72
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-29WashingtonHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-4
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR16Tomas Martin Etcheverry3-6 7-6(5) 6-4