── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jack Draper 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Jack Draper
38%62%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#48
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
GBR
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Martin EtcheverryJack Draper
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Tomas Martin Etcheverry3-6 6-3 4-1 RET
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR128Tomas Martin Etcheverry6-4 1-0 RET
2020-10-19Ismaning CHHardQ2Tomas Martin Etcheverry7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-4