── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Martin Etcheverry a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Jacob Fearnley
54%46%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#72
model rank
#91
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
GBR
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-02US OpenHardR64Tomas Martin Etcheverry6-3 6-3 3-6 6-3