── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Corentin Moutet 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Fabio Fognini
73%27%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 6-4 6-7(3) 6-3 |