── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Jan Lennard Struff
61%39%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
GER
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetJan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
Clay02
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardQFCorentin Moutet6-4 7-5
2024-11-04MetzHardR16Corentin Moutet7-6(2) 5-7 6-3
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsClayR32Jan Lennard StruffW/O
2023-05-15Bordeaux CHClayQFJan Lennard Struff6-3 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2HardR32Corentin Moutet6-2 6-4