── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Daniel Evans
80%20%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 56% / 44%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#171
Hard
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
180cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetDaniel Evans
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Corentin Moutet6-2 7-6(4)
2021-04-19BarcelonaClayR32Corentin Moutet6-4 5-7 6-3
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR64Corentin Moutet4-6 6-3 7-6(5) 7-6(1)