── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Daniel Evans
72%28%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#101
model rank
#182
Hard
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
180cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Corentin Moutet■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Corentin Moutet6-2 7-6(4)
2021-04-19BarcelonaClayR32Corentin Moutet6-4 5-7 6-3
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR64Corentin Moutet4-6 6-3 7-6(5) 7-6(1)