── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
David Goffin
70%30%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
David Goffin
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
BEL
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetDavid Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Grass10
Hard01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayQ2Corentin Moutet2-6 7-6(4) 7-5
2021-06-14HalleGrassR32Corentin Moutet1-6 7-5 0-0 RET
2019-08-26US OpenHardR128David Goffin6-3 3-6 6-4 6-0
2018-05-28Roland GarrosClayR64David Goffin7-5 6-0 6-1