── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Damir Dzumhur
68%32%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
BIH
180cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetDamir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Corentin Moutet6-3 6-0
2025-02-24SantiagoClayR32Damir Dzumhur6-2 3-6 6-2
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayQ1Corentin Moutet6-1 6-3