── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Corentin Moutet 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Bernard Tomic
69%31%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#101
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 6-1 7-6(9) |