── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Daniil Medvedev
21%79%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Corentin Moutet | 7-6(3) 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 4-6 6-3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | QF | Corentin Moutet | 1-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-06-21 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |