── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Jordan Thompson
45%55%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
66th · average
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#101
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Jordan Thompson | 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Corentin Moutet | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |