── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Corentin Moutet 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Mackenzie Mcdonald
68%32%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-2 6-3 |