── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Corentin Moutet 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Reilly Opelka
61%39%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Corentin Moutet | 3-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-04-29 | Aix-en-Provence CH | Clay | R16 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 7-6(3) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2019-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 6-3 2-6 7-6(10) |