── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Tomas Machac
40%60%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetTomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Corentin Moutet6-0 1-6 6-4