── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Tomas Machac
41%59%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Tomas Machac
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#101
model rank
#67
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Corentin Moutet■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Corentin Moutet6-0 1-6 6-4