── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Holger Rune
32%68%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
DEN
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 5-7 7-6(4) |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Holger Rune | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | Q1 | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-01-03 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 7-6(6) 6-4 |