── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Tristan Schoolkate
75%25%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#154
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetTristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Corentin Moutet6-4 7-6(1) 6-3