── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Tristan Schoolkate
65%35%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#101
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Corentin Moutet■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Corentin Moutet6-4 7-6(1) 6-3