── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Corentin Moutet
Ignacio Buse
42%58%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#40
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
PER
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Corentin MoutetIgnacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Corentin Moutet6-4 6-4