── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Corentin Moutet
Alex Michelsen
26%74%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#101
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Corentin Moutet■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | SF | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | SF | Corentin Moutet | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Corentin Moutet | 6-1 6-3 |