── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Alexander Zverev
33%67%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
GER
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard34
Clay02
Grass10
── 10 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsHardRRFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(4)
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR32Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayQFAlexander Zverev6-3 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupHardRRFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 4-6 6-3
2021-10-25ViennaHardQFAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(6) 3-6 3-6 6-4
2020-10-12Cologne 1HardFAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2019-09-30BeijingHardR16Alexander Zverev6-3 6-1
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev6-1 6-4