── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Alexander Zverev
33%67%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
GER
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–4
Clay0–2
Grass1–0
── 10 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-10-25 | Vienna | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(6) 3-6 3-6 6-4 |
| 2020-10-12 | Cologne 1 | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 6-4 |

