── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Stan Wawrinka
85%15%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
SUI
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(3)