── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Gael Monfils
76%24%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Gael Monfils
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-02-10 | Rotterdam | Hard | F | Gael Monfils | 6-2 6-4 |