── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Novak Djokovic
26%74%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 12% / 88%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(10) 3-6 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2022-09-23 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Novak Djokovic | 7-5 7-6(1) |