── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Adrian Mannarino
82%18%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | F | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |