── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Marin Cilic
78%22%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
CRO
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard3–2
Grass0–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(2) 7-6(2) |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2-6 7-6(7) 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2021-06-07 | Stuttgart | Grass | F | Marin Cilic | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Marin Cilic | 6-0 3-6 6-3 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-4 |