── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Karen Khachanov
59%41%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Grass1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(7) 7-5 6-3 |