── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Alexandre Muller
87%13%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4) |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2018-06-11 | Lyon CH | Clay | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 6-1 |