── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Alexandre Muller
86%14%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Clay2–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Felix Auger Aliassime5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2025-05-18HamburgClayQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR64Alexandre Muller6-3 6-2
2018-06-11Lyon CHClayQFFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-1