── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Benjamin Bonzi
81%19%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#94
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeBenjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-3