── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Roman Safiullin
80%20%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Roman Safiullin
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#86
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
RUS
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeRoman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2022-02-14MarseilleHardSFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 7-6(5)