── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Alejandro Tabilo
65%35%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
CHI
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 6-3 |