── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Alejandro Tabilo
67%33%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
CHI
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 7-5 6-1
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-3