── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Arthur Rinderknech
69%31%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup QLS R2: CAN vs FRA | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(4) 4-2 RET |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-5 6-3 |