── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Daniel Altmaier
83%17%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
GER
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
Hard11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-6(7)
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime3-6 6-3 6-2
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-3
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Daniel Altmaier7-6(5) 6-3
2024-01-08AucklandHardR16Daniel Altmaier7-6(9) 7-5